Between Housing Returns and a City’s Future

A rising home price does not show that life in the city is improving for everyone. Housing policy should also be measured by people’s ability to live safely and sustainably.

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İhsan Erz · AGD Haber Ajansı · October 11, 2026

Between Housing Returns and a City’s Future

A rising home price does not show that life in the city is improving for everyone. Housing policy should also be measured by people’s ability to live safely and sustainably.

The same apartment can be an asset on an investor’s balance sheet and the center of a tenant’s life. On one side is an annual return; on the other, rent due every month. Both are real economic relationships. When a housing debate excludes either perspective altogether, it loses an essential part of the question.

World Habitat Day on October 5 focused in 2026 on adequate housing for all. UN-Habitat’s Executive Director drew attention to approximately 3.4 billion people who lack adequate housing. That figure describes more than homelessness: it points to a wider deprivation involving safety, affordability, and access to basic services. The UN Secretary-General also called for housing to be treated as a public good.

Reading this agenda, I look at the relationship between real estate and public administration. To what extent does a market meet social needs as it creates value? An appreciating asset can increase the wealth of its owner. The same process can narrow the options of someone hoping to rent or buy a home. A price chart alone cannot describe the resulting picture.

I am not suggesting that every city in the United States, Europe, or elsewhere faces the same problem. Supply, population, finance, income, and forms of governance differ. The shared tension is that a home is both a basic need of life and an investment vehicle. Good policy begins by recognizing that dual character.

Rising asset values are not the same as rising well-being

When home prices climb in a city, property owners may feel wealthier. But if the people who work there find it harder to live near their jobs, another cost emerges: a longer commute, more time lost, and less flexibility in family budgets. We should not count higher property values as success for a whole city without seeing those effects.

The cost of housing is not determined by the purchase price or rent alone. Transportation, maintenance, energy, insurance, and access to basic services also enter the household budget. A seemingly inexpensive home can create an expensive way of life once those costs are included. Affordability requires a wider view than the number in a listing.

Increasing supply matters. A shortage of homes in places where people need to live is a real problem. Yet counting the number of units built is not enough. Which income groups can live in them? What transport network serves them? Are basic services ready? How will long-term maintenance be paid for? The number of housing units and the need for livable homes do not always match.

Finance belongs in this picture as well. Access to credit can make ownership possible, but taking on more debt is not the same as making housing affordable. A household’s ability to borrow more does not mean the home has become reasonably priced relative to its income. If we measure market growth only by lending capacity, we may overlook who bears the burden later.

I see no absolute conflict between respecting the value of ownership and taking the need for shelter seriously. Reliable property rights and contracts matter to investment. Tenants also need predictable conditions, households in need need access to support, and city services must function. Legal certainty should take the needs of different parties into account.

Housing policy depends on institutions

Quick fixes attract attention in the global housing debate: build more, change taxes, expand credit, or restrict certain transactions. Each can be a useful tool under specific conditions. But no single instrument should be presented as a prescription for every city. The policy’s goal, conditions for applying it, and likely side effects should be clear.

Public support must also be open to scrutiny. When an incentive is granted, who benefits, for how long, and which income group does it serve? If public resources raise the value of an asset while the benefit remains concentrated among a narrow group, the social result deserves another look. Transparency is a safeguard for the public interest.

I see housing data as a basic tool of governance. Prices, rents, vacancies, incomes, infrastructure, and need each tell us something different. Debates based on incomplete or delayed data easily become slogans. Computer science can help gather and compare information, but deciding which question to measure remains a choice of public policy.

The relationship between international capital and the need for a home also requires care. Foreign investment can bring production and finance; in some markets it can add pressure to demand. The effect is not the same everywhere. Language that blames an entire group instead of examining the economics obscures the need for sound data and suitable tools.

The return on an investment and the future of a city sometimes move in the same direction and sometimes diverge. Good governance recognizes that divergence early and responds while respecting different rights. We should measure housing success not only by how much homes have appreciated, but also by whether more people can build a life in the city.

Originally published in Turkish on AGD Haber Ajansı. Read the original ↗

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